Notts County vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
30%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1982 |
WBA
2 - 4
NOT
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1982 |
NOT
1 - 3
MUD
27%
28%
46%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1982 |
WHU
1 - 0
NOT
73%
16%
11%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1982 |
NOT
1 - 1
SOU
33%
28%
39%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1982 |
SUN
1 - 1
NOT
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1982 |
LEE
1 - 1
NTT
42%
28%
30%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1982 |
WOL
1 - 0
LEE
44%
27%
29%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1982 |
SUN
0 - 1
LEE
45%
27%
28%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1982 |
LEE
0 - 1
MAC
48%
26%
26%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1982 |
BHA
1 - 0
LEE
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |