Notts County vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
16.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1925 |
NOT
0 - 1
BIR
47%
27%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1925 |
NOT
1 - 1
HUR
36%
28%
36%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1925 |
NOT
2 - 0
NEW
45%
28%
28%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1925 |
SHE
2 - 0
NOT
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1925 |
NOT
2 - 0
BUR
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1925 |
EVE
1 - 0
LEE
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1925 |
LEE
1 - 0
ARS
43%
26%
32%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1925 |
MAC
4 - 2
LEE
69%
19%
13%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1925 |
LEE
2 - 1
BOL
36%
29%
35%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1925 |
LEE
1 - 0
BCF
41%
26%
33%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |