EFL Cup 1/64
Global 2-1
Notts County vs Hull City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
12.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2000 |
OLD
0 - 1
NOT
51%
25%
24%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2000 |
NOT
0 - 1
CAM
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2000 |
STO
0 - 1
NOT
65%
21%
14%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2000 |
HUL
1 - 0
NOT
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
NOT
3 - 4
MIL
38%
27%
35%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Hull City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2000 |
HUL
0 - 2
CHE
44%
27%
29%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2000 |
HUL
1 - 1
LIN
49%
25%
27%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2000 |
MAC
0 - 0
HUL
51%
26%
23%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2000 |
HUL
1 - 0
NOT
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
HUL
1 - 1
PLY
48%
26%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |