Notts County vs Hartlepool United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
27.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2011 |
NOT
1 - 3
CHE
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
MKD
3 - 0
NOT
62%
22%
17%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
NOT
2 - 0
ROC
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
STE
0 - 2
NOT
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
EXE
1 - 1
NOT
46%
26%
29%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Hartlepool United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
HAR
0 - 1
SHW
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
BOU
1 - 2
HAR
53%
25%
23%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
HAR
3 - 0
BCF
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
CUM
1 - 2
HAR
52%
24%
24%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
HAR
2 - 0
EXE
42%
26%
32%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |