Notts County vs Grimsby Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
BRO
1 - 0
NOT
40%
26%
34%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2022 |
WEA
0 - 0
NOT
14%
22%
64%
|
56 | 35 | 21 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
NOT
2 - 1
EAS
66%
19%
15%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2022 |
KIN
2 - 4
NOT
11%
20%
70%
|
55 | 34 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2022 |
NOT
3 - 1
WRE
49%
24%
27%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
GRI
2 - 1
WEA
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2022 |
WRE
1 - 0
GRI
49%
27%
24%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
GRI
1 - 2
BRO
27%
27%
47%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
GRI
2 - 0
ALT
52%
25%
24%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2022 |
HAL
1 - 0
GRI
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |