Notts County vs Grimsby Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
16%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.5%
18%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
8.1%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
FUL
4 - 0
NOT
77%
16%
8%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2010 |
BOU
2 - 1
NOT
37%
28%
35%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
GRI
0 - 1
NOT
20%
26%
55%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2010 |
WIG
0 - 2
NOT
72%
19%
10%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | +2 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
NOT
2 - 0
BAR
64%
22%
15%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
BRA
0 - 0
GRI
59%
23%
17%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
GRI
0 - 1
NOT
20%
26%
55%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
ALD
1 - 1
GRI
70%
19%
12%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
ROT
2 - 1
GRI
65%
22%
14%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
GRI
0 - 0
CHE
44%
25%
31%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |