Notts County vs Grimsby Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
32.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
CHE
0 - 2
NOT
50%
25%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2006 |
NOT
2 - 2
NOR
28%
26%
46%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
NOT
2 - 1
STF
41%
27%
32%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
WYC
2 - 0
NOT
70%
18%
12%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
NOT
3 - 2
DAR
42%
28%
31%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
GRI
1 - 2
POS
56%
25%
20%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2006 |
STO
2 - 1
GRI
37%
26%
37%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
GUL
2 - 2
GRI
35%
26%
39%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2006 |
DAR
0 - 0
GRI
38%
27%
36%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
GRI
2 - 1
MAN
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |