Notts County vs Grimsby Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
25.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
BRE
2 - 3
NOT
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
NOT
4 - 1
STO
50%
24%
26%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
BOU
1 - 0
NOT
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
QPR
3 - 2
NOT
67%
20%
12%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
NOT
1 - 1
BAR
40%
25%
35%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
GRI
6 - 1
BAR
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2004 |
GRI
3 - 2
LUT
27%
24%
49%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
COL
2 - 0
GRI
56%
24%
20%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2004 |
GRI
1 - 2
BRI
27%
26%
48%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
GRI
2 - 1
BHA
37%
27%
37%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +2 |