Notts County vs Gillingham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
19.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BRO
2 - 4
NOT
31%
24%
45%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
NOT
2 - 0
STA
68%
18%
14%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SWI
1 - 2
NOT
29%
23%
48%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
NOT
4 - 1
GRI
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
NOT
2 - 2
FLE
46%
24%
30%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
GIL
3 - 0
TRA
41%
28%
31%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
DON
1 - 0
GIL
58%
24%
19%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
GIL
1 - 2
POS
14%
19%
67%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
GIL
1 - 0
CHE
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FLE
0 - 0
GIL
48%
27%
26%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |