Notts County vs Gillingham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
31.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
NOT
0 - 1
BRE
27%
27%
46%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2013 |
BRA
1 - 1
NOT
61%
22%
17%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
STF
1 - 0
NOT
47%
26%
28%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
NOT
0 - 1
WOL
24%
26%
50%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2013 |
OLD
5 - 1
NOT
49%
25%
27%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
ROT
4 - 1
GIL
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2013 |
GIL
3 - 2
STE
44%
27%
29%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
GIL
0 - 1
OLD
40%
27%
33%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
SHE
1 - 2
GIL
54%
25%
22%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
GIL
1 - 1
BRA
75%
16%
9%
|
57 | 8 | 49 | -1 |