Notts County vs Forest Green Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
26.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
LIN
3 - 1
NOT
60%
23%
18%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2018 |
NEW
3 - 2
NOT
41%
26%
33%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
NOT
0 - 4
YEO
57%
22%
20%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
MID
3 - 3
NOT
62%
23%
16%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
CAM
3 - 2
NOT
35%
26%
39%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Forest Green Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
WYC
2 - 2
FOR
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
FOR
1 - 1
SWI
43%
25%
33%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2018 |
FOR
0 - 0
STE
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
BCF
1 - 1
FOR
40%
26%
35%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
SWI
0 - 1
FOR
45%
24%
31%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |