Notts County vs Forest Green Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
17.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2009 |
BUR
1 - 4
NOT
46%
25%
29%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
NOT
1 - 2
STA
47%
26%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
HER
0 - 2
NOT
37%
28%
36%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2009 |
NOT
4 - 0
DAR
60%
24%
16%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
BOU
1 - 2
NOT
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Forest Green Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
FOR
1 - 0
GAT
42%
23%
35%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2009 |
TAM
0 - 0
FOR
47%
25%
27%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2009 |
FOR
3 - 1
SAL
42%
24%
33%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
WOK
1 - 0
FOR
44%
25%
32%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
FOR
1 - 0
RUS
36%
26%
38%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +1 |