Notts County vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
25.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1919 |
EVE
1 - 2
NOT
72%
16%
12%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1919 |
NOT
2 - 2
ARS
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1919 |
ARS
3 - 1
NOT
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1919 |
NOT
2 - 2
SUN
33%
25%
42%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1919 |
SUN
3 - 1
NOT
71%
17%
12%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1919 |
EVE
1 - 2
NOT
72%
16%
12%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1919 |
BOL
0 - 2
EVE
55%
23%
23%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1919 |
EVE
3 - 3
BOL
61%
20%
20%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1919 |
BRA
3 - 3
EVE
49%
25%
26%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1919 |
EVE
4 - 1
BRA
66%
19%
15%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |