Notts County vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
22%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1914 |
WBA
4 - 1
NOT
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1914 |
NOT
1 - 2
SHW
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1914 |
SUN
3 - 1
NOT
71%
18%
12%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1914 |
NOT
0 - 2
MAC
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1914 |
NOT
1 - 1
BBU
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1914 |
EVE
1 - 3
BBU
43%
26%
32%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1914 |
BOL
0 - 0
EVE
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1914 |
EVE
4 - 2
MUD
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1914 |
OLD
1 - 1
EVE
60%
23%
18%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1914 |
EVE
4 - 1
BRA
73%
17%
10%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |