Notts County vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
27.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1912 |
SHE
1 - 3
NOT
73%
16%
11%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1912 |
NOT
1 - 4
NEW
38%
26%
36%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1912 |
ASV
5 - 1
NOT
78%
14%
9%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1912 |
NOT
2 - 0
ASV
37%
26%
38%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1912 |
NOT
0 - 0
LIV
50%
23%
27%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1912 |
EVE
1 - 0
ARS
63%
21%
16%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1912 |
EVE
1 - 0
PNE
76%
15%
9%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1912 |
MAC
4 - 0
EVE
45%
24%
30%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1912 |
SWI
2 - 1
EVE
23%
25%
52%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1912 |
BRA
1 - 0
EVE
49%
26%
25%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |