Notts County vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
36.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1907 |
BBU
1 - 1
NOT
68%
18%
14%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1907 |
NOT
1 - 1
MUD
38%
25%
37%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1907 |
NTT
2 - 0
NOT
69%
17%
13%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1907 |
NOT
2 - 0
CHL
51%
22%
27%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1907 |
SHE
0 - 1
NOT
76%
14%
10%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1907 |
EVE
1 - 1
ARS
70%
17%
13%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1907 |
SUN
1 - 2
EVE
47%
23%
29%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1907 |
NEW
2 - 1
EVE
63%
19%
18%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1907 |
BOL
3 - 0
EVE
49%
23%
28%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1907 |
EVE
4 - 1
BBU
75%
15%
9%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | +1 |