Notts County vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
37.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1906 |
BIR
2 - 0
NOT
78%
13%
9%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1906 |
NOT
0 - 0
SUN
44%
23%
33%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1906 |
BBU
0 - 2
NOT
68%
18%
15%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1906 |
EVE
2 - 2
NOT
86%
9%
5%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1906 |
NOT
2 - 2
STO
59%
20%
20%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1906 |
EVE
2 - 0
BRI
70%
17%
13%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1906 |
LIV
1 - 2
EVE
58%
22%
21%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1906 |
EVE
1 - 2
ASV
60%
20%
20%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1906 |
EVE
2 - 2
NOT
86%
9%
5%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1906 |
NEW
1 - 0
EVE
63%
20%
17%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |