Notts County vs Dover Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.3%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.1%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.9%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.1%
3.5%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
ALD
3 - 1
NOT
12%
20%
68%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2022 |
DOV
0 - 3
NOT
7%
17%
76%
|
55 | 27 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
NOT
3 - 1
WEY
84%
12%
5%
|
55 | 34 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
NOT
4 - 1
KIN
77%
15%
8%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
GUL
5 - 1
NOT
33%
26%
42%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Dover Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
DOV
0 - 1
ALT
11%
20%
69%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2022 |
DOV
0 - 3
NOT
7%
17%
76%
|
27 | 55 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
CHE
3 - 2
DOV
84%
12%
4%
|
27 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
DOV
1 - 4
WOK
24%
23%
53%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
BOR
1 - 2
DOV
76%
17%
7%
|
28 | 53 | 25 | +1 |