Notts County vs Darlington FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
30.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2006 |
NOT
1 - 0
BAR
36%
26%
38%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2005 |
LEY
1 - 0
NOT
58%
23%
19%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2005 |
OXF
3 - 0
NOT
47%
25%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
NOT
2 - 0
STO
51%
25%
25%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
WRE
1 - 1
NOT
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Darlington FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2006 |
DAR
3 - 2
GUL
49%
26%
25%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2005 |
LIN
2 - 2
DAR
53%
26%
22%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2005 |
DAR
2 - 1
BAR
40%
26%
34%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2005 |
CUM
1 - 1
DAR
56%
24%
19%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
STO
0 - 3
DAR
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |