Notts County vs Coventry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
43.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
PNE
2 - 0
NOT
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
NOT
1 - 5
WAL
40%
28%
32%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
POS
4 - 3
NOT
70%
18%
12%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
STE
0 - 1
NOT
46%
26%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
NOT
2 - 1
SHE
37%
28%
35%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Coventry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2014 |
BRI
1 - 2
COV
39%
26%
36%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2014 |
LEY
2 - 0
COV
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2014 |
ARS
4 - 0
COV
86%
11%
3%
|
64 | 92 | 28 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
PNE
1 - 1
COV
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
COV
2 - 2
CRA
65%
20%
15%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |