Notts County vs Coventry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
22.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1984 |
NOR
0 - 1
NOT
67%
19%
14%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1984 |
NOT
1 - 2
EVE
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1984 |
NOT
1 - 1
WBA
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1984 |
STO
1 - 0
NOT
53%
25%
23%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1984 |
NOT
0 - 0
TOT
38%
25%
37%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Coventry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1984 |
COV
3 - 3
ASV
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1984 |
QPR
2 - 1
COV
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1984 |
COV
0 - 1
BIR
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1984 |
WBA
1 - 1
COV
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1984 |
COV
2 - 3
STO
65%
21%
15%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |