Notts County vs Colchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
35.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2003 |
SHW
2 - 1
NOT
66%
20%
14%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
BPO
2 - 1
NOT
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2003 |
NOT
2 - 1
IPS
22%
24%
54%
|
52 | 75 | 23 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
NOT
2 - 2
TRA
35%
26%
39%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2003 |
NOT
1 - 3
RUS
36%
26%
38%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2003 |
COL
1 - 1
BRE
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
COL
1 - 0
BOU
49%
25%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2003 |
ROT
1 - 0
COL
49%
24%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
POS
1 - 2
COL
47%
25%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2003 |
WYC
1 - 2
COL
43%
25%
33%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |