Notts County vs Chorley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
28%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
EBB
2 - 2
NOT
41%
24%
35%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
NOT
1 - 1
WRE
42%
26%
32%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
TOW
0 - 2
NOT
61%
20%
19%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
NOT
1 - 2
BAR
41%
26%
33%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2019 |
NOT
1 - 1
STO
33%
25%
42%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Chorley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
CHO
0 - 0
HAR
49%
25%
26%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
MAI
4 - 1
CHO
44%
25%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
CHO
1 - 6
SOL
27%
27%
46%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
SUT
2 - 2
CHO
36%
25%
39%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2019 |
FYL
0 - 0
CHO
63%
21%
16%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |