Notts County vs Chesterfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
30.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2022 |
NOT
1 - 0
BOR
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
DAG
1 - 2
NOT
38%
26%
36%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
STO
3 - 0
NOT
54%
25%
21%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
NOT
1 - 2
WRE
41%
24%
36%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2022 |
SOL
3 - 3
NOT
40%
26%
34%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2022 |
ALT
1 - 0
CHE
24%
25%
52%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
CHE
1 - 0
MAI
69%
19%
12%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
BOR
1 - 1
CHE
35%
28%
38%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
CHE
2 - 2
SOU
63%
22%
15%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2022 |
CHE
3 - 1
NOT
42%
27%
32%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |