Notts County vs Chesterfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
22.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2021 |
BRO
1 - 0
NOT
36%
25%
38%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
NOT
3 - 0
WEY
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2021 |
WRE
0 - 1
NOT
30%
27%
43%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
NOT
2 - 2
BRO
55%
24%
22%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2021 |
MAI
0 - 4
NOT
31%
26%
44%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2021 |
HAL
1 - 2
CHE
44%
26%
30%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
CHE
2 - 1
DAG
44%
27%
29%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
CHE
0 - 0
WEA
77%
15%
8%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2021 |
CHE
4 - 1
KIN
68%
19%
14%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
WOK
1 - 4
CHE
24%
25%
51%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | +1 |