Notts County vs Chesterfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
17.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
NOR
0 - 2
NOT
36%
27%
37%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2001 |
MAN
3 - 4
NOT
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
NOT
2 - 1
CAM
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
POR
4 - 2
NOT
48%
26%
27%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2001 |
NOT
2 - 1
OXF
68%
18%
13%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
CHE
0 - 1
BRE
45%
27%
28%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2001 |
POR
2 - 1
CHE
53%
24%
23%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
OLD
1 - 1
CHE
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
CHE
3 - 6
COL
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2001 |
CHE
3 - 0
HAL
57%
25%
18%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |