Notts County vs Cheltenham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
29.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
BRI
0 - 2
NOT
63%
20%
17%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
BCF
2 - 3
NOT
44%
27%
29%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
NOT
0 - 0
CUM
41%
28%
31%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2005 |
NOR
5 - 2
NOT
58%
23%
20%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
ROC
3 - 0
NOT
56%
23%
20%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Cheltenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
CHE
1 - 0
CUM
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
CHE
0 - 2
MAN
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
DAR
3 - 1
CHE
44%
27%
29%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2005 |
STF
0 - 2
CHE
53%
24%
23%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2005 |
CHE
0 - 3
GRI
46%
26%
29%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |