Notts County vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
37.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1991 |
SOU
1 - 1
NOT
65%
21%
14%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1991 |
TOT
2 - 1
NOT
76%
16%
8%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1991 |
NOT
0 - 1
QPR
47%
27%
26%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1991 |
EVE
1 - 0
NOT
71%
19%
10%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1991 |
ASV
1 - 0
NOT
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1991 |
CHL
4 - 2
OLD
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1991 |
CHL
1 - 3
MUD
30%
27%
43%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1991 |
SHW
3 - 0
CHL
50%
25%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1991 |
CHL
1 - 0
NTT
36%
26%
39%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1991 |
SOU
1 - 0
CHL
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |