Notts County vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
24.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1924 |
NOT
1 - 1
WHU
53%
26%
22%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1924 |
NOT
1 - 0
NEW
36%
31%
33%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 1924 |
CHL
0 - 6
NOT
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 1924 |
PNE
2 - 1
NOT
70%
17%
12%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1924 |
NOT
0 - 0
PNE
41%
26%
34%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1924 |
WBA
2 - 2
CHL
65%
21%
15%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1924 |
CHL
1 - 1
EVE
36%
29%
35%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1924 |
EVE
2 - 0
CHL
70%
18%
12%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1924 |
CHL
0 - 6
NOT
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 1924 |
CHL
0 - 1
HUR
38%
29%
34%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |