Notts County vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
21.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1920 |
PNE
2 - 0
NOT
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1920 |
LIV
3 - 0
NOT
68%
18%
14%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1920 |
NOT
1 - 0
LIV
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1920 |
BRA
0 - 1
NOT
63%
20%
17%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1920 |
NOT
0 - 2
BRA
56%
22%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1920 |
BBU
3 - 1
CHL
67%
18%
14%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1920 |
CHL
4 - 1
BRA
54%
22%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1920 |
CHL
2 - 1
BBU
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1920 |
CHL
2 - 3
BOL
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1920 |
BOL
1 - 2
CHL
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |