Notts County vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
23.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1912 |
OLD
4 - 0
NOT
65%
19%
15%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1912 |
NOT
0 - 1
NEW
34%
26%
40%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1912 |
SHE
2 - 0
NOT
72%
16%
12%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 1912 |
NOT
1 - 0
BOL
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1912 |
LIV
0 - 0
NOT
73%
15%
11%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1912 |
CHL
2 - 3
MID
54%
22%
24%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1912 |
TOT
1 - 0
CHL
56%
22%
23%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1912 |
CHL
3 - 1
DER
54%
23%
23%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1912 |
BBU
1 - 1
CHL
73%
17%
10%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1912 |
CHL
0 - 4
SHW
37%
24%
39%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |