Notts County vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
18%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1909 |
ARS
1 - 2
NOT
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1909 |
NOT
1 - 2
SHE
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1909 |
ASV
1 - 1
NOT
72%
17%
11%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1909 |
NOT
3 - 1
LIV
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1909 |
NEW
1 - 3
NOT
73%
17%
10%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1909 |
CHL
2 - 1
TOT
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1909 |
BCF
4 - 2
CHL
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1909 |
CHL
4 - 1
BRI
59%
20%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1909 |
SHW
4 - 1
CHL
72%
15%
13%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1909 |
CHL
0 - 3
BRA
62%
20%
18%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |