Notts County vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
18.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2001 |
WIG
1 - 1
NOT
57%
23%
20%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2001 |
WYC
3 - 0
NOT
58%
22%
20%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2001 |
BRI
3 - 2
NOT
59%
22%
19%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2001 |
NOT
2 - 0
CAM
68%
18%
14%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
NOT
0 - 0
CAR
42%
25%
33%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2001 |
BCF
0 - 2
BHA
32%
29%
39%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2001 |
BCF
1 - 1
LIN
57%
22%
21%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
COL
0 - 1
BCF
61%
22%
17%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2001 |
BCF
2 - 2
BRI
35%
28%
37%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2001 |
LIN
1 - 1
BCF
58%
22%
19%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |