Notts County vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
25.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1925 |
CAR
1 - 1
NOT
63%
22%
16%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1925 |
NOT
4 - 1
SUN
33%
26%
40%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 1925 |
NTT
0 - 0
NOT
39%
28%
33%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 1925 |
NOT
0 - 1
BOL
38%
28%
35%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1925 |
TOT
1 - 1
NOT
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1925 |
BCF
4 - 2
WHU
49%
27%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1925 |
BCF
0 - 0
NEW
45%
28%
28%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1925 |
SHE
0 - 1
BCF
62%
21%
17%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1925 |
MAC
0 - 0
BCF
66%
19%
15%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1925 |
LIV
4 - 0
BCF
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |