Notts County vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
13.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1912 |
MID
4 - 0
NOT
62%
20%
18%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1912 |
SHW
3 - 0
NOT
66%
20%
15%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1912 |
NOT
1 - 3
BBU
45%
26%
30%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1912 |
SUN
5 - 0
NOT
67%
19%
14%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1911 |
NOT
2 - 0
WBA
65%
19%
15%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1912 |
BCF
2 - 1
TOT
44%
25%
31%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1912 |
BCF
0 - 2
MID
44%
25%
32%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1912 |
PNE
1 - 0
BCF
63%
20%
17%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1912 |
BCF
1 - 0
WBA
51%
23%
26%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1911 |
BCF
1 - 2
BBU
33%
25%
43%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |