Notts County vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
21.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1911 |
LIV
2 - 1
NOT
75%
15%
10%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1911 |
NOT
1 - 0
MUD
38%
26%
37%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1911 |
NOT
1 - 0
OLD
61%
20%
19%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 1911 |
PNE
2 - 0
NOT
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1911 |
TOT
3 - 0
NOT
58%
22%
21%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1911 |
BCF
1 - 0
PNE
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1911 |
MID
2 - 1
BCF
60%
20%
21%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1911 |
BCF
2 - 1
TOT
60%
20%
19%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1911 |
NEW
5 - 1
BCF
70%
18%
13%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1911 |
BCF
2 - 1
BRI
56%
21%
23%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |