Notts County vs Burton Albion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
36.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
NOT
0 - 1
ROT
44%
25%
31%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2013 |
LIV
4 - 2
NOT
84%
13%
4%
|
58 | 89 | 31 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
NOT
0 - 1
STE
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
WAL
1 - 1
NOT
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
NOT
2 - 4
POS
35%
26%
40%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Burton Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
STA
0 - 1
BUR
29%
24%
47%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2013 |
BUR
2 - 2
FUL
21%
26%
54%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
BUR
2 - 2
BCF
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
FLE
2 - 3
BUR
37%
25%
38%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
BUR
1 - 0
ROC
59%
22%
19%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |