Notts County vs Bristol Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
12.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2011 |
ROC
1 - 0
NOT
39%
27%
35%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
SHW
0 - 1
NOT
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2011 |
NOT
0 - 1
POS
42%
26%
32%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
LEY
2 - 0
NOT
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2011 |
BRE
1 - 1
NOT
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bristol Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
BRO
0 - 1
HUR
17%
23%
60%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2011 |
TRA
0 - 1
BRO
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
BRO
0 - 2
DAG
41%
26%
34%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2011 |
BRO
0 - 1
COL
35%
27%
38%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
BRE
1 - 0
BRO
60%
23%
18%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |