Notts County vs Bristol City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
45.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
POS
5 - 2
NOT
54%
24%
22%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
MID
2 - 0
NOT
79%
15%
6%
|
53 | 83 | 30 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2003 |
LUT
2 - 0
NOT
65%
20%
15%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2003 |
NOT
3 - 3
QPR
30%
26%
44%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
PLY
3 - 0
NOT
64%
21%
15%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2003 |
BRI
2 - 0
BOU
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2003 |
BRE
1 - 2
BRI
31%
26%
43%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
BRI
1 - 0
STO
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2003 |
BAR
2 - 1
BRI
38%
26%
37%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
RUS
1 - 1
BRI
40%
26%
35%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |