Notts County vs Bristol City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
27.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1974 |
LEY
1 - 1
NOT
62%
23%
15%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1974 |
NOT
1 - 1
CAR
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1974 |
NOT
0 - 0
BOL
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1974 |
MID
4 - 0
NOT
68%
21%
11%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1974 |
MIL
0 - 0
NOT
62%
23%
15%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1974 |
BRI
0 - 2
OPA
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1974 |
NTT
1 - 1
BRI
58%
23%
20%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1974 |
SUN
1 - 2
BRI
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1974 |
BRI
1 - 0
NTT
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1974 |
BRI
2 - 0
CUM
50%
27%
23%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |