Notts County vs Bristol City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
15.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1910 |
SHW
1 - 3
NOT
72%
16%
12%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1910 |
NOT
0 - 0
EVE
52%
23%
25%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1910 |
MAC
0 - 1
NOT
69%
17%
14%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1910 |
NOT
1 - 1
NTT
64%
18%
18%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1910 |
BBU
1 - 1
NOT
64%
20%
15%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1910 |
BRI
0 - 0
PNE
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1910 |
MID
3 - 0
BRI
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1910 |
BRI
0 - 2
TOT
56%
22%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1910 |
NEW
0 - 1
BRI
72%
17%
11%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1910 |
BRI
4 - 0
NTT
50%
23%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |