Notts County vs Bristol City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
32.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1907 |
SHW
2 - 0
NOT
77%
14%
9%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1907 |
NOT
2 - 0
ARS
51%
22%
27%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1907 |
SUN
4 - 3
NOT
75%
15%
11%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1907 |
NEW
1 - 1
NOT
78%
14%
8%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1907 |
ARS
1 - 1
NOT
74%
16%
11%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1907 |
SHW
5 - 3
BRI
57%
22%
21%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1907 |
BRI
1 - 1
NEW
46%
25%
29%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1907 |
BRI
0 - 2
SHW
57%
23%
20%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1907 |
ARS
0 - 4
BRI
52%
23%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1907 |
BRI
3 - 2
EVE
47%
25%
29%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |