Notts County vs Brentford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2001 |
NOT
2 - 4
MAC
26%
24%
50%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
NOT
2 - 2
WRE
60%
22%
19%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2001 |
NOT
1 - 1
CHE
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
NOR
0 - 2
NOT
36%
27%
37%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2001 |
MAN
3 - 4
NOT
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2001 |
NEW
4 - 1
BRE
78%
14%
8%
|
57 | 84 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
BRE
4 - 0
TRA
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2001 |
BRE
2 - 1
CAM
55%
24%
22%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
CHE
0 - 1
BRE
45%
27%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2001 |
BRE
1 - 0
NOR
40%
26%
35%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |