Notts County vs Bradford Park Avenue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
13.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1914 |
LIV
1 - 1
NOT
64%
20%
15%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1914 |
ASV
2 - 1
NOT
78%
14%
8%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1914 |
HUR
2 - 1
NOT
38%
28%
34%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1914 |
BPO
0 - 0
NOT
25%
29%
46%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1914 |
NOT
2 - 0
BCF
72%
17%
11%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Bradford Park Avenue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1914 |
BRA
1 - 2
BBU
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1914 |
BRA
4 - 1
BPO
77%
15%
8%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1914 |
LIN
0 - 3
BRA
43%
27%
29%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1914 |
NTT
1 - 0
BRA
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1914 |
BRA
2 - 1
HUR
71%
17%
12%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |