Notts County vs Bradford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
33.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
NOT
1 - 1
STF
41%
27%
32%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
NOT
2 - 0
CRE
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
ROT
0 - 0
NOT
59%
23%
18%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
NOT
2 - 2
GUL
40%
27%
34%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2009 |
BRA
2 - 2
NOT
53%
24%
23%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bradford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
MAC
2 - 2
BRA
32%
26%
42%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
BRA
1 - 0
HER
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
DAG
2 - 1
BRA
57%
22%
21%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
BRA
2 - 3
CRE
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2009 |
BRA
2 - 2
NOT
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |