Notts County vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
31.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1915 |
NOT
1 - 1
WBA
51%
26%
23%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1915 |
SHW
0 - 0
NOT
76%
14%
9%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1915 |
NOT
2 - 1
SUN
29%
24%
47%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1915 |
MAC
0 - 0
NOT
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1915 |
TOT
2 - 0
NOT
56%
22%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1915 |
BOL
3 - 1
BUR
61%
21%
18%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1915 |
BOL
1 - 1
SUN
41%
23%
36%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1915 |
BOL
4 - 2
HUL
78%
13%
8%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1915 |
SHW
7 - 0
BOL
63%
19%
18%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1915 |
BOL
1 - 1
WBA
58%
23%
20%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |