Notts County vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
27.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1912 |
LIV
0 - 0
NOT
73%
15%
11%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1912 |
NOT
1 - 1
ASV
30%
25%
45%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1912 |
TOT
0 - 3
NOT
62%
20%
18%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1912 |
MUD
2 - 1
NOT
77%
14%
9%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1912 |
SUN
4 - 0
NOT
77%
14%
9%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1912 |
BOL
3 - 2
MID
65%
19%
16%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1912 |
TOT
0 - 1
BOL
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1912 |
BOL
1 - 1
DER
69%
18%
14%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1912 |
BBU
6 - 0
BOL
67%
20%
13%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1912 |
BOL
3 - 0
SHW
46%
24%
30%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |