Notts County vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
34.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1906 |
ASV
2 - 1
NOT
85%
9%
5%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1906 |
WOL
6 - 1
NOT
51%
22%
27%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1906 |
NOT
1 - 0
NEW
38%
25%
37%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1906 |
PNE
4 - 1
NOT
73%
16%
11%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1906 |
NOT
1 - 1
MID
72%
16%
13%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1906 |
BOL
1 - 1
NEW
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1906 |
PNE
3 - 0
BOL
52%
23%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1906 |
BOL
3 - 2
LIV
50%
23%
27%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1906 |
BOL
2 - 1
MID
80%
12%
8%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1906 |
BCF
2 - 1
BOL
44%
22%
33%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | -1 |