Notts County vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
19.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1907 |
BIR
0 - 0
NOT
71%
17%
13%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1907 |
NOT
2 - 1
EVE
39%
25%
36%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1907 |
BBU
1 - 1
NOT
68%
18%
14%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1907 |
NOT
1 - 1
MUD
38%
25%
37%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1907 |
NTT
2 - 0
NOT
69%
17%
13%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1907 |
BIR
0 - 0
NOT
71%
17%
13%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1907 |
BIR
2 - 1
MAC
52%
21%
28%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1907 |
BIR
2 - 1
SHW
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1907 |
ARS
1 - 1
BIR
70%
17%
13%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1907 |
BIR
0 - 2
SUN
64%
18%
17%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |