Notts County vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
29.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1907 |
NOT
5 - 0
POR
77%
13%
10%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1907 |
POR
2 - 2
NOT
41%
24%
35%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1907 |
NOT
1 - 2
BBU
50%
23%
27%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1907 |
STO
1 - 1
NOT
69%
17%
14%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1907 |
NOT
3 - 0
MUD
42%
24%
34%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1907 |
LIV
2 - 0
BIR
70%
18%
12%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1907 |
BIR
3 - 2
ASV
52%
22%
26%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1907 |
NEW
2 - 0
BIR
76%
15%
9%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1907 |
MID
1 - 0
BIR
47%
24%
29%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1906 |
BIR
3 - 0
PNE
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |